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KMID : 0311120230640010001
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Yonsei Medical Journal
2023 Volume.64 No. 1 p.1 ~ p.10
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Mathematical Modeling of COVID-19 Transmission and Intervention in South Korea: A Review of Literature
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Lee Hyo-Jung
Kim Sol
Jeong Min-Young
Choi Eun-Seo
Ahn Hyeon-Jeong
Lee Jee-Hyun
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Abstract
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South Korea implemented interventions to curb the spread of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic with discovery of the first case in early 2020. Mathematical modeling designed to reflect the dynamics of disease transmission has been shown to be an important tool for responding to COVID-19. This study aimed to review publications on the structure, method, and role of mathematical models focusing on COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Korea. In total, 42 papers published between August 7, 2020 and August 21, 2022 were studied and reviewed. This study highlights the construction and utilization of mathematical models to help craft strategies for predicting the course of an epidemic and evaluating the effectiveness of control strategies. Despite the limitations caused by a lack of available epidemiological and surveillance data, modeling studies could contribute to providing scientific evidence for policymaking by simulating various scenarios.
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KEYWORD
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COVID-19, mathematical modeling, transmission dynamics, intervention, South Korea
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