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KMID : 0311120230640050320
Yonsei Medical Journal
2023 Volume.64 No. 5 p.320 ~ p.326
Prediction of Microsatellite Instability in Colorectal Cancer Using a Machine Learning Model Based on PET/CT Radiomics
Kim So-Young

Lee Jae-Hoon
Park Eun-Jung
Lee Hye-Sun
Baik Seung-Hyuk
Jeon Tae-Joo
Lee Kang-Young
Ryu Young-Hoon
Kang Jeong-Hyun
Abstract
Purpose: We investigated the feasibility of preoperative 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) radiomics with machine learning to predict microsatellite instability (MSI) status in colorectal can cer (CRC) patients.

Materials and Methods: Altogether, 233 patients with CRC who underwent preoperative FDG PET/CT were enrolled and divided into training (n=139) and test (n=94) sets. A PET-based radiomics signature (rad_score) was established to predict the MSI status in patients with CRC. The predictive ability of the rad_score was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating character istic curve (AUROC) in the test set. A logistic regression model was used to determine whether the rad_score was an independent predictor of MSI status in CRC. The predictive performance of rad_score was compared with conventional PET parameters.

Results: The incidence of MSI-high was 15 (10.8%) and 10 (10.6%) in the training and test sets, respectively. The rad_score was constructed based on the two radiomic features and showed similar AUROC values for predicting MSI status in the training and test sets (0.815 and 0.867, respectively; p=0.490). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the rad_score was an independent pre dictor of MSI status in the training set. The rad_score performed better than metabolic tumor volume when assessed using the AUROC (0.867 vs. 0.794, p=0.015).

Conclusion: Our predictive model incorporating PET radiomic features successfully identified the MSI status of CRC, and it also showed better performance than the conventional PET image parameters.
KEYWORD
Colorectal cancer, microsatellite instability, positron emission tomography, image analysis, machine learning
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