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KMID : 0880420200210111265
Korean Journal of Radiology
2020 Volume.21 No. 11 p.1265 ~ p.1272
Characteristics of COVID-19 Patients Who Progress to Pneumonia on Follow-Up Chest Radiograph: 236 Patients from a Single Isolated Cohort in Daegu, South Korea
Jung Ha-Kyung

Kim Jin-Young
Lee Mu-Sook
Lee Ji-Yeon
Park Jae-Seok
Hyun Mi-Ri
Kim Hyun-Ah
Kwon Yong-Shik
Choi Sang-Woong
Moon Sung-Min
Suh Young-Joo
Abstract
Objective: We investigated the prevalence of pneumonia in novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients using chest radiographs to identify the characteristics of those with initially negative chest radiographs, who were positive for pneumonia on follow-up.

Materials and Methods: Retrospective cohort data of 236 COVID-19 patients were reviewed. Chest radiography was performed on admission, with serial radiographs obtained until discharge. The ¡®positive conversion group¡¯ was defined as patients whose initial chest radiographs were negative but were positive for pneumonia during follow-up. Patients with initially positive chest radiographs were defined as the ¡®initial pneumonia group.¡¯ Patients with negative initial and follow-up chest radiographs were defined as the ¡®non-pneumonia group.¡¯ Clinical and laboratory findings were compared between groups, and predictors of positive conversion were investigated.

Results: Among 236 patients, 108 (45.8%) were in the non-pneumonia group, 69 (29.2%) were in the initial pneumonia group, and 59 (25%) were in the positive conversion group. The patients in the ¡®initial pneumonia group¡¯ and ¡®positive conversion group¡¯ were older, had higher C-reactive protein (CRP) and lactate dehydrogenase levels, and lower absolute lymphocyte counts than those in the ¡®non-pneumonia group¡¯ (all p < 0.001). Among patients with negative initial chest radiographs, age ¡Ã 45 years (odds ratio [OR]: 3.93, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.76?8.75, p = 0.001), absolute lymphocyte count < 1500 cells/¥ìL (OR: 2.25, 95% CI: 1.03?4.89, p = 0.041), and CRP > 0.5 mg/dL (OR: 3.91, 95% CI: 1.54?9.91, p = 0.004) were independent predictors for future development of pneumonia.

Conclusion: More than a half of COVID-19 patients initially had normal chest radiographs; however, elderly patients (¡Ã 45 years of age) with abnormal laboratory findings (elevated CRP and low absolute lymphocyte counts) developed pneumonia on follow-up radiographs.
KEYWORD
Radiography, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Pneumonia, C-reactive protein, Lymphopenia, Lactate dehydrogenase
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