KMID : 1120220200110020067
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Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives 2020 Volume.11 No. 2 p.67 ~ p.73
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KCDC Risk Assessments on the Initial Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Korea
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Kim In-Ho
Lee Ji-A Lee Ji-Hee Shin Een-Suk Chu Chae-Shin Lee Seon-Kui
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Abstract
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Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the risk assessments of coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) in the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC), from the point of detection to the provision of basic information to the relevant public health authorities.
Methods: To estimate the overall risk of specific public health events, probability, and impact at the country-level were evaluated using available information. To determine the probability of particular public health events, the risk of importation and risk of transmission were taken into consideration. KCDC used 5 levels (¡°very low,¡± ¡°low,¡± ¡°moderate,¡± ¡°high,¡± and ¡°very high¡±) for each category and overall risk was eventually decided.
Results: A total of 8 risk assessments were performed on 8 separate occasions between January 8th to February 28th, 2020, depending on the detection and report of COVID-19 cases in other countries. The overall risk of the situation in each assessment increased in severity over this period: ¡°low¡± (first), ¡°moderate¡± (second), ¡°high¡± (third), ¡°high¡± (fourth), ¡°high¡± (fifth), ¡°high¡± (sixth), ¡°high¡± (seventh), and ¡°very high¡± (eighth).
Conclusion: The KCDC¡¯s 8 risk assessments were utilized to activate national emergency response mechanisms and eventually prepare for the pandemic to ensure the containment and mitigation of COVID-19 with non-pharmaceutical public health measures.
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KEYWORD
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COVID-19, public health, risk assessment
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