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KMID : 1189420190320040041
Journal of Korean Oriental Medical Ophthalmology & Otolaryngology & Dermatology
2019 Volume.32 No. 4 p.41 ~ p.61
A Study on Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis, Reduction to Absurdity and Application of Bayesian Statistics in Korean Medicine Otolaryngology
Nam Seung-Pyo

Bae Ji-Min
Kwon Kang
Abstract
Background : The current medical statistics used in clinical research are the results of Fisher's significance test and the Neyman-Pearson hypothesis test, which were combined by psychologists. Also, in the philosophical background, it is related to Popper's falsificationism based hypothesis-deductive method and reduction to absurdity.

Objectives : This study was designed to find complementary and alternative methods of null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis used for the clinical research methodology of Korean medicine otolaryngology.

Methods : The body of this paper was divided into seven part. These are historical background, hypothesis test, hypothesis test method used in the design of clinical study, falsificationism and reduction to absurdity, problem and alternative method of the Neyman-Pearson hypothesis test, diagnosis example of sinusitis differentiation syndromes by Bayesian statistics. Through this process, we found out problems of frequentist statistics and suggested alternative methods.

Result & Conclusion : As a solution to the problems of the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis, there are effects size, confidence interval, Bayesian statistics and Lakatos methodology of scientific research programmes.
KEYWORD
Null and alternative hypothesis, Reduction to Absurdity, Bayesian Statistics, Lakatos Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes, Korean Medicine Otolaryngology
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